Track record
Predictions join the track record when the finding they belong to is published. The institution is running: the first published finding puts the first dated predictions on the table — and from then on, everything counts.
Published findings carry dated, verifiable predictions. These are they — before the answer exists, not after.
No hit rate is shown until at least one prediction has actually been scored. An empty scoreboard is more honest than an invented percentage.
Sealed findings in the vault may carry dated predictions too. They are laid open at unsealing — vindicated or disproven, both publish. See the vault
Resolving this month
Predictions whose horizon date falls this month. Anticipation is part of the content: this is what the institution has committed to — before the answer exists.
No predictions resolve this month. When a horizon date approaches, the countdown runs here.
The verdicts so far
Scored predictions, with misses listed before hits — at the same type size. A track record that hides its failures is not a track record.
No verdicts yet. The first arrives when the first prediction reaches its horizon and is scored against public data — and misses publish here at exactly the same size as hits.
Interventions
0interventions in the public log
No human pre-approves content. But the responsible editor can intervene — halt, take down, or order a correction — and every such act is itself a publicly logged event with reasons. A lawful intervention is the system working, not breaking.
Zero so far. The day that number changes, it changes here.